Pakistan could collapse in six months – repercussions? – playing with fire
Obama takes the credit for his oft stated withdrawal of troops from Iraq. When the reality is at least 50,000 troops will remain in Iraq. And worse, it is just a redeployment of troops for Afghanistan and the coming dismemberment of Pakistan.
NEW YORK: Pakistan could collapse within six months in the face of the snowballing insurgency, a top expert on guerrilla warfare has said.
The dire prediction was made by David Kilcullen, a former adviser to top US military commander General David Petraeus.
It is accepted as fact that Hitler’s strategic downfall was attacking Russia. And by analogy, how could our warlords not also go for Iran at the same time as destroying Pakistan. Or would Israel simply attack Iran just when the US and NATO are militarily involved in Pakistan? Thereby insuring the US and NATO are intertwined?
The Taliban were strengthened and financed by the west, and now made stronger from Bush’s war on terror. The weakening of Pakistan has been going on for years, lots of clandestine plots.
One problem is also post colonial, the enmity between Pakistan and India:
Ex Indian Ambassador M K Bhadrakumar writing in the Asia Times, concludes an article on rising tensions and India’s alliance with the US with this:
The message is simple: If Pakistan goes down, it will take India down with it. There is no such thing as absolute security.
Overreach is all our oligarchy can do. Israel is very much a part of the nerve centre of global planning. And all bodies have an Achilles heal. With Israel having so many adversaries who will be Israel’s undoing?
Back to Pakistan. Presumably the majority of the population is powerless, even if they have submachine guns. That leaves the military and the Taliban as fighting forces.
My imagination sees the West using Weapons of Mass destruction on the tribal areas (staged as a false flag, stolen nuclear weapon?), just as separatism in Pakistan gets a groundswell, that is Punjab and Baluchistan separating.
A Press TV poll suggests Pakistan’s political turmoil has been orchestrated by the US in an attempt to partition the nuclear-armed country.
Operation Enduring Turmoil is the Neocons plan to disassemble Pakistan, give northern Pakistan to Afghanistan, Southwest Pakistan to the Balochs… all this in an effort to restrict Chinese access to energy and herd energy resources towards Israel, the Mediterranean and Europe.
The worry apart from potentially millions of deaths, is what is the possible spillover? Pakistan attacking India? In the scheme of Neocon things that is affordable.
America consumed by social unrest through the cost of this war theatre? Then Jews in the US would likely become a target.
China is allied with Pakistan. What it’s reaction would be is unknown, as is much of the Pakistani populations. The idea of a Pakistan in pieces will become more acceptable. Just recently Sharif called for a revolution, although Zardari placated him by reinstating the sacked Judges.
The US would have us believe it has a cozy relationship with the Pakistan military and with Zardari. But not with the Pakistani intelligence, the ISI.
How many can be bought out? This is all the NeoCon planners concern themselves with.
Pakistan has 170 million people, India over a Billion – the mind boggles. And India is involved in Afghanistan. And Afghanistan is becoming the focus for Pakistans problems.
Best to leave this post with an excerpt from a voice of experience:
All the following text and the pic are from:
Hence the U.S. has given Pakistan the option to tow its line completely or “the stick” – to accept responsiblity for what happens in future. Hint-hint, is another 9/11 in the making somewhere in West? The U.S. is pressurizing the Pakistan Army and ISI to throw aside Pakistan’s national interests and blindly do its dirty work inside their own country and in the region. In addition, ignore for a moment the U.S. expansion of war into Pakistan. It gets better. The U.S. has advised the Pakistan Army to disclaim India as enemy number one, not to focus on India in the future and to change its defense policy. How can anyone in their right mind expect the Pakistan Army and ISI to accept U.S. demands, when they have concrete evidence of Indian support from Afghanistan for terrorist groups inside Pakistan?
The million dollar question to think about is what happens when the U.S. corners Pakistan? Will Pakistan go down like Iraq, ravaged with civil wars, daily bombings, and extreme sectarian divide? Pakistan has at least 170 million people to begin with, and nuclear weapons. Will Pakistan just let go of its nuclear weapons? Will the Army sit in barracks and watch the country plunge into civil war? What will become of the people – 170 million strong? Another question remains about whether the U.S. will send in ground troops if Pakistan Army and ISI refuse to fight “terrorists” in tribal areas of Pakistan. Is Obama ready to spend billions more in fighting the “war on terror”? Will we see India sending its troops into Afghanistan to support U.S. and NATO troops? The basic rule of nature is that there is an equal and opposite reaction to every action. The Pakistan Army and ISI have no doubt been a long ally of Pentagon and the CIA. But when the existence of ISI and Pakistan Army itself is under threat, they just might decide to change their alliances. Will Pakistan Army start supporting Taliban in Afghanistan again in order to divert the U.S. war expansion from Pakistan back into Afghanistan? Uncle Sam must remember that China too has a big stake in Pakistan. The Pakistan Army has the same level of strategic partnership with its Chinese counterpart as they have with the Americans. The only difference is that there are no secrets between China and Pakistan. According to Sun Tzu, the art of war is to defeat your enemy without fighting! This is surely something that the U.S. should remember and the fact that no invading army has ever returned victorious from Afghanistan. Hence this surge theory of Obama is rubbish to say the least. “Only fools rush in.” –source–