Divining the News (DTN)

Not Mainstream News

Is Israel’s warmongering a Ponzi scheme?

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The warmongering by Israel towards Lebanon and Syria suggests it might be serious about attacking Gaza.

After all Hamas may be brave but it cannot defeat the Israelis. The real threat of invading Gaza is a sympathy attack by Hizbollah or its allies (Syria and or Iran). Which is what happened in 06.

Middeno in Beirut makes Israel’s stance clear in the title of his post:

More warmongering by the eternally deluded

Israel has reiterated its threats against Lebanon amid talk about practical scenarios where the Israeli army would occupy the area south of the Litani and end its war with Hizbullah in a “quick and decisive victory. ” The Jerusalem Post, quoting Israeli military sources, said the elite Golani Brigade has only recently concluded a one-week maneuver on the Golan Heights amid talk about the possibility that Israel could wage war both on Syria and Hizbullah.

Source

Israel cannot cope with Hamas, it cannot cope with the fact that it was popularly elected, and that that was also in the West Bank. Nor can Israel cope with Hamas saying it will not recognise Israel. Nor can Israel cope with Hamas not breaking under the Israeli siege, I could go on …..


Maybe Israel (or do I mean most Israelis) cannot cope with reality. They insist on a pax Israeli Middle East. Economic domination over everyone. Perhaps they think NATO will assist in any occupation. They are accustomed to UNSC (through the US) and EU support, save for the odd ill comment.

The tide of propaganda (PR) is turning against Israel, and this is being hastened with the financial bubble and all the prominent Israeli sympathising Jewish billionaires. Will Israel try a quick attack before Obama gets in? Maybe.

Presumably everyone can say time is no longer on Israel’s side. The US is on the wane, Russia more assertive, and Iraq seen as a disaster from Israel’s behest.

There are no moderate voices of prominence in Israel!

Is Israel a Ponzi nation? Relying on ever more conquests and new blood in order to survive? Is it’s major strength only ‘monkey business’? Could the country face up to this possibility? And therefore undergo a kind of revolution? Not a whistle of a chance, no, it will probably go to war again, and continue with the Neocon trend of the last 8 years, One fiasco after another.

Written by morris

December 16, 2008 at 10:47 pm

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  1. Israel jails Hamas speaker Dweik


    Aziz Dweik was arrested in 2006 by Israeli forces

    An Israeli military court has sentenced the speaker of the Palestinian parliament to three years in prison for belonging to an illegal organisation.

    Aziz Dweik, a member of Islamist group Hamas, has already served more than two years and will be freed in August.

    He was arrested with other politicians in August 2006 in Israeli operations following the capture by Hamas of an Israeli soldier, Gilad Shalit.

    Mr Dweik, 60, was elected speaker after the Hamas poll victory in January 2006.

    Hamas, which controls the Gaza Strip, is regarded as a terrorist organisation by Israel.

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7786859.stm

    aza truce set to expire
    Mel Frykberg, The Electronic Intifada, 16 December 2008

    Tens of thousands of Hamas supporters attend a Gaza City rally to celebrate the resistance group’s 21st anniversary, 14 December 2008. (Hatem Omar/MaanImages)
    RAMALLAH, occupied West Bank (IPS) – Ten days of intensive fighting broke out between Israel and the Islamic resistance organization Hamas last month despite a ceasefire.

    Israel carried out a cross-border incursion into Gaza, sparking a cycle of tit-for-tat violence which claimed the lives of dozens of Palestinian fighters and lightly injured two Israelis.

    This serious breach of a six-month ceasefire between the two raises questions whether the current truce, which formally ends in several days will be renewed, or whether Israel will embark on a major military incursion into the Gaza Strip as it has been threatening.

    While a number of analysts have argued that there is a strong possibility of the truce continuing, most agree that an eventual bloody showdown between Israel and Hamas is only a question of time.

    Impacting the decision-making on both sides are a number of factors including upcoming elections in Israel next February, Palestinian political infighting, and military and strategic assessments.

    Dr. Ahmed Yousef, Hamas spokesman and the foreign advisor to Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, said discussions were ongoing and that his organization had not reached a consensus just yet on renewing the truce.

    “We are discussing a number of issues including whether Israel will lift the blockade of Gaza to allow sufficient supplies of humanitarian aid in. We are also seeking the opinions of the smaller resistance groups such as Islamic Jihad and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine,” he told IPS.

    Dr. Samir Awad, from the University of Birzeit’s faculty of law department in the central West Bank, said the status quo of a lull in hostilities was only temporary, but suited Israel’s interests more than a bloody incursion into the coastal territory for the time being.

    “Israel’s forthcoming election is one of the factors forcing Israel to be cautious at present,” says Awad.

    The idea of renewed escalation has been raised in the pre-election campaigns. Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni who is also chairperson of the ruling party and prime ministerial candidate, wanting to appear strong, called for stronger retaliation against rocket fire emanating from Gaza.

    Conversely, Labor party leader and Defense Minister Ehud Barak, also an election candidate and viewed as weak by many, appeared reluctant to fight on two fronts simultaneously, in Gaza and in the Israeli Knesset or parliament.

    It was Barak together with chief of staff Gaby Ashkenazi who persuaded the Israeli cabinet against a major incursion into Gaza last spring.

    “Israel knows that ultimately there is no military solution to the conflict and that it would get dragged into a long and bloody quagmire if it did invade. An ongoing occupation would also be expensive as Israel would be obliged legally to take care of the civilian population,” said Awad.

    Dr. Moshe Ma’oz, professor emeritus of Islamic and Middle Eastern Studies at Jerusalem’s Hebrew University and Senior Fellow at the Harry S. Truman Research Institute for the Advancement of Peace, added that Israel has no alternative but to eventually negotiate with its enemy.

    “But the Israeli government is afraid that any deal reached with Hamas would destroy its chances of reaching a two-state solution with Palestinian [Authority] President Mahmoud Abbas whose Palestinian Authority (PA) controls the West Bank,” he told IPS.

    The old colonial law of divide and conquer also strengthens Israel’s position as Hamas, which controls Gaza, and PA affiliate Fatah focus their weapons and animosity on each other as opposed to their common enemy and occupier Israel.

    “There is a strong probability that an incursion would further solidify Palestinian public opinion on both sides of the Fatah-Hamas divide against Israel despite the current infighting,” Awad told IPS.

    The PA’s relationship with Israel’s security forces has strengthened considerably over the last year as the two co-ordinate a political and military campaign against Hamas supporters in the West Bank.

    But their cooperation over the continuing economic embargo on Gaza has backfired, with the PA paying a high price politically for the rising humanitarian crisis.

    Furthermore, senior PA military men and politicians have told Israel that they fear for their lives and believe Hamas might carry out assassinations against them.

    Of particular concern is 9 January when Abbas’s presidential term expires. Abbas has said he wants to remain in power until the following year when legislative elections are scheduled.

    But Hamas said it would refuse to recognize him after this date. Abbas then threatened to step down and call for immediate and simultaneous presidential and legislative elections.

    “This is something that Hamas is afraid of as they are not sure of holding onto power in Gaza, and neither are they willing to give it up,” said Awad.

    Hamas has also stated that it would only renew the truce if the calm is extended to the West Bank. But this has been partially dismissed as political posturing, as neither the PA nor Israel are prepared to cease hostilities against Hamas supporters there.

    Furthermore, Awad and his Israeli counterpart Ma’oz agree that a renewal of the temporary truce is also in the interests of Hamas.

    “Hamas wants time to consolidate its power and build up its strength,” says Mo’az. The resistance movement has released training videos of its men following Iranian tactical maneuvers.

    Israeli intelligence estimates that the missiles at the group’s disposal have been upgraded significantly in the last few months.

    At present Hamas has missiles with a 20 kilometer range capable of only hitting Israeli towns bordering Gaza. In a few months new missiles with a range of 40 km will be in their possession, according to Israeli intelligence.

    Ultimately the organization wants missiles with a 70 km range which would be able to target central Israeli towns and cities such as Jerusalem.

    “It is only a matter of time before the two sides will clash again,” said Mo’az.

    In the interim Israeli security officials are preparing for a number of scenarios as not much hope is held out for the current Egyptian mediated negotiations between the Palestinian factions being held in Cairo.

    http://electronicintifada.net/v2/article10032.shtml

    morris

    December 17, 2008 at 12:39 am


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